Poll Average Details- FL US Senate - 2016-11-08 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Marco A. Rubio Marco A. RubioPatrick Murphy Patrick MurphyPaul Stanton Paul StantonBradley J. Patrick Bruce Nathan Howard W. Knepper Robert Samuel Kaplan Charles Frederick Tolbert Tony Khoury Basil E. Dalack Angela Marie Walls-Windhauser Steven Machat
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   48.0000 - -2.2024 bias 49.0000 - 2.6000 bias                    
Pulse Opinion Research11/6X 0.98333   52.0000 - 1.6194 bias 38.0000 - -0.2544 bias                    
Quinnipiac University11/6X 0.98333   50.0000 - -0.2682 bias 43.0000 - 1.0754 bias                    
YouGov11/4X 0.95000   47.0000 - 0.0288 bias 44.0000 - 1.4134 bias                    
Gravis Marketing11/2X 0.91667   47.0000 - 0.2608 bias 46.0000 - 1.1590 bias                    
Opinion Savvy11/2X 0.91667   49.6000 - -0.6111 bias 46.0000 - -0.3502 bias                    
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)11/1X 0.90000   49.0000 - 0.4312 bias 48.0000 - 0.8608 bias                    
William & Mary College10/30X 0.86667   49.0000 - -3.0192 bias 43.0000 - 1.6514 bias                    
Emerson College10/27X 0.81667   49.0000 - 0.6906 bias 47.0000 - 0.8084 bias                    
Siena Research Institute10/27X 0.81667   51.0000 - -0.0165 bias 42.0000 - 0.4840 bias                    
Marist Institute10/26X 0.80000   51.0000 - -0.4397 bias 43.0000 - 0.7635 bias                    
Public Policy Polling10/26X 0.80000   46.0000 - -0.1800 bias 46.0000 - 1.1680 bias                    
Saint Leo University10/26X 0.80000   52.5000 - -3.7505 bias 47.6000 - 3.4382 bias                    
Selzer & Co.10/24X 0.76667   51.0000 - -0.2736 bias 41.0000 - 1.0019 bias                    
Florida Atlantic University10/23X 0.75000   46.0000 - -0.8516 bias 42.0000 - 2.6545 bias                    
Tyson Group (TelOpinion Research) (R)10/19X 0.68333   43.0000 - -6.5118 bias 38.0000 - -2.6439 bias                    
Cherry Communications10/19X 0.68333   51.0000 - 0.5152 bias 37.0000 - -0.1037 bias                    
Lucid10/18X 0.66667   45.0000 - -2.8535 bias 44.0000 - 2.1557 bias                    
Suffolk University9/21X 0.21667   43.0000 - -2.1317 bias 34.0000 - 1.6356 bias 2.0000 - 1.1435 bias     0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.2000 - 1.2514 bias 0.0000 - 1.2514 bias
Monmouth University9/19X 0.18333   47.0000 - -0.9091 bias 45.0000 - 1.9679 bias                    
Global Strategy Group (D)9/11X 0.05000  X 1/2 47.0000 - -2.0582 bias 45.0000 - 2.9065 bias                    
TOTAL 49.606772 42.596885 0.856500 0.000000 0.000000 -1.051400 -1.051400 -1.051400 -1.051400 -1.051400 -1.051400 -1.251400