Poll Average Details- IN US Senate - 2016-11-08 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Todd Young Todd YoungEvan Bayh Lucy Brenton James L. Johnson Jr.
SurveyMonkey11/7X 1.00000   53.0000 - -2.2024 bias 42.0000 - 2.6000 bias    
Public Opinion Strategies (R)11/3X 0.93333   46.0000 - 2.6066 bias 41.0000 - -1.2825 bias 6.0000 - 2.4568 bias  
Gravis Marketing11/1X 0.90000   37.0000 - 0.2608 bias 40.0000 - 1.1590 bias 7.0000 - 1.7089 bias  
Monmouth University10/30X 0.86667   45.0000 - -0.9091 bias 45.0000 - 1.9679 bias 4.0000 - 0.8035 bias  
Princeton Survey Research Associates10/16X 0.63333   43.0000 - -1.1956 bias 49.0000 - 1.8159 bias    
Lucid10/10X 0.53333   43.0000 - -2.8535 bias 46.0000 - 2.1557 bias    
TOTAL 45.411333 41.996290 4.014547 0.000000