Poll Average Details- WI Governor - Recall - 2012-06-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Scott Walker Scott WalkerTom Barrett Scattering Hari Trivedi
We Ask America6/3X 1.00000   54.1000 - 0.7934 bias 41.5600 - -0.1888 bias    
Public Policy Polling6/3X 1.00000   50.0000 - -0.1800 bias 47.0000 - 1.1680 bias    
ccAdvertising (R)5/30X 0.93333   50.3100 - 4.4041 bias 40.3900 - -1.7906 bias    
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)5/30X 0.93333  X 1/2 50.0000 - -2.3099 bias 48.0000 - 2.7672 bias    
Lake Research (D)5/28X 0.90000   49.0000 - -3.0428 bias 49.0000 - 4.9472 bias    
Marquette University Law School5/26X 0.86667   52.0000 - 0.0598 bias 45.0000 - 1.0486 bias    
St. Norbert College5/22X 0.80000   50.0000 - -0.9458 bias 45.0000 - 2.4085 bias    
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)5/21X 0.78333   50.0000 - -1.6043 bias 47.0000 - 2.2053 bias    
Rasmussen Reports5/9X 0.58333   50.0000 - 1.5977 bias 45.0000 - 0.4180 bias    
TOTAL 50.728832 43.767993 0.000000 0.000000