Poll Average Details- OH Governor - 2006-11-07 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ted Strickland J. Kenneth "Ken" Blackwell Larry Bays James Lundeen Bob Fitrakis Bill Peirce
Polimetrix11/5X 1.00000   62.0000 - 1.9452 bias 35.0000 - 1.6909 bias        
University of Cincinnati (The Ohio Poll)11/5X 1.00000   59.0000 - 0.6231 bias 37.0000 - 0.3091 bias        
Columbus Dispatch11/3X 0.96667   67.0000 - 2.1707 bias 31.0000 - -1.5633 bias        
Mason-Dixon11/2X 0.95000   56.0000 - 0.4277 bias 37.0000 - 0.8543 bias        
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/29X 0.88333   59.0000 - 0.8608 bias 36.0000 - 0.4312 bias        
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.85000   50.8000 - 0.0637 bias 43.3000 - 0.8374 bias        
Opinion Consultants10/25X 0.81667   55.0000 - -1.0352 bias 39.0000 - 2.2601 bias        
Survey USA10/25X 0.81667   62.0000 - 0.5274 bias 32.0000 - 0.3265 bias     1.0000 - 1.0702 bias 1.0000 - 1.3296 bias
Quinnipiac University10/15X 0.65000   59.0000 - 1.0754 bias 32.0000 - -0.2682 bias        
New York Times - CBS News10/15X 0.65000   54.0000 - 2.0567 bias 29.0000 - -1.4721 bias        
Rasmussen Reports10/3X 0.45000   52.0000 - 0.4180 bias 40.0000 - 1.5977 bias        
University of Akron9/29X 0.38333   47.4000 - -1.3826 bias 33.8000 - 1.9352 bias        
TOTAL 57.097337 34.988666 0.000000 0.000000 -0.070200 -0.329600