Poll Average Details- CA Governor - 2006-11-07 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Arnold Schwarzenegger Robert C. Newman IIPhil Angelides Phil AngelidesPeter M. Camejo Peter M. CamejoJames E. Harris Ed Noonan Janice Jordan Janice JordanRobert C. Newman II Vibert Greene Donald "Dr. Don" Etkes Elisha Shapiro Dealphria Christina Tarver Art Olivier Art Olivier
Polimetrix11/5X 1.00000   52.0000 - 1.6908 bias 42.0000 - 1.9452 bias                    
Survey USA11/4X 0.98333   53.0000 - 0.3780 bias 38.0000 - 0.4044 bias                    
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.85000   47.6000 - 0.8373 bias 38.8000 - 0.0638 bias 5.8000 - 5.7423 bias                 3.0000 - 3.1506 bias
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)10/22X 0.76667   48.0000 - 3.1774 bias 30.0000 - 0.5676 bias                    
Rasmussen Reports10/10X 0.56667   49.0000 - 1.6097 bias 40.0000 - 0.4145 bias                    
Survey and Policy Research Institute - San Jose State University9/30X 0.40000   46.0000 - 2.3467 bias 33.0000 - 2.8671 bias                    
Los Angeles Times9/28X 0.36667   50.0000 - 1.3341 bias 33.0000 - 4.8655 bias                    
Mason-Dixon9/28X 0.36667   49.0000 - 0.8876 bias 36.0000 - 0.3444 bias                    
Field Poll9/24X 0.30000   44.0000 - 1.3589 bias 34.0000 - 1.9551 bias                    
Datamar9/15X 0.15000   53.6000 - 3.3400 bias 31.4000 - -1.3774 bias                    
TOTAL 48.051997 35.638112 0.057700 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.150600