Poll Average Details- NH US President - 2004-11-02 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	John F. Kerry John F. Kerry	George W. Bush George W. Bush	Ralph Nader	Howard Dean John F. Kerry	John McCain George W. Bush	John Edwards John F. Kerry	Dennis J. Kucinich John F. Kerry	Wesley Clark John F. Kerry	Michael Badnarik	Wesley Powell George W. Bush	Michael A. Peroutka	Scattering
American Research Group	10/30	X 1.00000		47.0000 - -0.0031 bias	47.0000 - 0.7892 bias	2.0000 - 0.6757 bias
Mason-Dixon	10/29	X 0.98333		47.0000 - 0.4277 bias	46.0000 - 0.8543 bias
University of New Hampshire	10/29	X 0.98333		49.0000 - 2.6652 bias	47.0000 - -2.2994 bias	1.0000 - 3.1108 bias
Research 2000	10/28	X 0.96667		49.0000 - 1.1463 bias	46.0000 - 0.1379 bias	3.0000 - 2.3294 bias
Franklin Pierce College	10/28	X 0.96667		50.1000 - 3.6749 bias	42.5000 - -2.2885 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/18	X 0.80000		49.0000 - 0.4180 bias	47.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Suffolk University	10/17	X 0.78333		46.0000 - 1.6356 bias	41.0000 - -2.1317 bias	1.0000 - 1.6824 bias
Zogby Interactive	10/17	X 0.78333		51.1000 - 0.0637 bias	46.0000 - 0.8374 bias	1.1000 - -0.0999 bias
Becker Institute, Inc.	10/2	X 0.53333		49.0000 - 2.4670 bias	43.0000 - -1.3378 bias	2.0000 - 1.4668 bias
Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D)	9/26	X 0.43333		47.0000 - 3.8851 bias	47.0000 - -2.4348 bias	3.0000 - -0.1292 bias
TOTAL				46.954833	45.821661	0.354285	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000