Poll Average Details- MI US Senate - 2014-11-04 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Gary Peters Gary Peters	Terri Lynn Land Terri Lynn Land	Jim Fulner	Chris Wahmhoff	Richard A. Matkin	Write-In
Mitchell Research & Communications	11/2	X 1.00000		52.0000 - 1.8111 bias	40.0000 - -0.3165 bias	2.0000 - 0.5871 bias	1.0000 - 0.2009 bias	1.0000 - 0.2509 bias
Public Policy Polling	11/2	X 1.00000		54.0000 - 1.1680 bias	41.0000 - -0.1800 bias
EPIC/MRA	10/28	X 0.91667		50.0000 - 0.7445 bias	35.0000 - 0.7895 bias
YouGov	10/23	X 0.83333		49.0000 - 1.4134 bias	41.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Clarity Campaign Labs	10/20	X 0.78333	X 1/2	48.0000 - 3.9429 bias	33.0000 - -1.3124 bias
Wenzel Strategies (R)	10/7	X 0.56667		46.9000 - -3.2645 bias	44.3000 - 4.5835 bias
Marketing Resource Group	10/1	X 0.46667		47.0000 - 1.9320 bias	36.0000 - -1.2748 bias
Target Insyght	9/24	X 0.35000		48.0000 - 3.4951 bias	38.0000 - -1.7528 bias
We Ask America	9/19	X 0.26667		42.0000 - -0.1888 bias	39.0000 - 0.7934 bias	3.0000 - 1.2509 bias	1.0000 - 0.7078 bias	1.0000 - 0.1975 bias
Rasmussen Reports	9/18	X 0.25000		41.0000 - 0.4180 bias	39.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)	9/15	X 0.20000		45.0000 - -0.5207 bias	40.0000 - 0.4956 bias	5.0000 - 1.3094 bias	3.0000 - 2.1484 bias	2.0000 - 1.6372 bias
Denno-Noor Research (D)	9/13	X 0.16667		44.7000 - 0.7212 bias	37.7000 - 2.1962 bias
Suffolk University	9/10	X 0.11667		45.6000 - 1.6356 bias	36.8000 - -2.1317 bias	3.2000 - 1.1435 bias	1.4000 - 0.4664 bias	1.8000 - 1.6824 bias
Glengariff Group	9/5	X 0.03333		47.0000 - 0.0853 bias	36.5000 - -0.5761 bias
TOTAL				47.975720	38.635929	1.804656	0.730269	0.662766	0.000000