Poll Average Details- NY District 23 - Special Election - 2009-11-03 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Douglas Hoffman	Bill Owens	Dede Scozzafava	Scattering
Public Policy Polling	11/1	X 1.00000		51.0000 - 6.0906 bias	34.0000 - 1.1680 bias	13.0000 - -0.1800 bias
Siena Research Institute	11/1	X 1.00000		41.0000 - 6.7074 bias	36.0000 - 0.4840 bias	6.0000 - -0.0165 bias
Research 2000	10/28	X 0.93333		32.0000 - -8.7409 bias	33.0000 - 1.1463 bias	21.0000 - 0.1379 bias
Neighborhood Research (R)	10/26	X 0.90000		34.0000 - -1.7944 bias	29.0000 - -6.4383 bias	14.0000 - 6.5235 bias
Basswood Research (R)	10/25	X 0.88333		31.0000 - -6.2066 bias	27.0000 - -1.9275 bias	20.0000 - 3.9682 bias
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	9/8	X 0.10000		19.0000 - -18.4140 bias	20.0000 - -3.4211 bias	30.0000 - 4.0805 bias
TOTAL				38.626096	32.775223	12.903118	0.000000