Poll Average Details- IN Governor - 2012-11-06 17:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Mike Pence	John Gregg	Rupert Boneham	Donnie Harold Harris
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	11/1	X 1.00000		51.0000 - 4.0805 bias	39.0000 - -3.4211 bias	3.0000 - 0.8187 bias
Howey/DePauw	10/30	X 0.96667		47.0000 - 1.0088 bias	40.0000 - -1.1589 bias	5.0000 - 1.2745 bias
Clarity Campaign Labs	10/26	X 0.90000	X 1/2	47.0000 - -1.3124 bias	44.0000 - 3.9429 bias
Benenson Strategy Group (D)	10/21	X 0.81667	X 1/2	44.0000 - -1.4207 bias	38.0000 - 2.2156 bias	6.0000 - 2.8228 bias
YouGov	10/11	X 0.65000		49.0000 - 0.0288 bias	38.0000 - 1.4134 bias
TOTAL				47.049297	39.892658	2.981041	0.000000