Poll Average Details- NV US Senate - 2012-11-06 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Dean Heller Dean HellerShelley Berkley Shelley BerkleyDavid Vanderbeek None of These Candidates
Public Policy Polling11/4X 1.00000   48.0000 - -0.1800 bias 46.0000 - 1.1680 bias 4.0000 - 0.7018 bias  
YouGov11/3X 0.98333   49.0000 - 0.0288 bias 40.0000 - 1.4134 bias    
Survey USA10/29X 0.90000   46.0000 - 0.3265 bias 40.0000 - 0.5274 bias 6.0000 - 1.3786 bias 4.0000 - 1.6199 bias
Grove Insight (D)10/28X 0.88333  X 1/2 44.0000 - -1.0926 bias 43.0000 - 2.8547 bias    
Marist Institute10/24X 0.81667   48.0000 - -0.4397 bias 45.0000 - 0.7635 bias    
Rasmussen Reports10/23X 0.80000   50.0000 - 1.5977 bias 45.0000 - 0.4180 bias    
Mellman Group (D)10/17X 0.70000  X 1/2 38.0000 - -2.5182 bias 41.0000 - 3.6270 bias 5.0000 - 0.7919 bias 4.0000 - 0.2760 bias
Suffolk University10/9X 0.56667   40.0000 - -2.1317 bias 37.0000 - 1.6356 bias 7.0000 - 3.0011 bias  
Precision Opinion10/6X 0.51667   45.0000 - 8.0419 bias 43.0000 - -0.0458 bias    
Gravis Marketing10/4X 0.48333   52.5000 - 0.2608 bias 35.8000 - 1.1590 bias    
We Ask America9/27X 0.36667   45.2000 - 0.7934 bias 44.9000 - -0.1888 bias    
Public Opinion Strategies (R)9/20X 0.25000   44.0000 - 2.6066 bias 39.0000 - -1.2825 bias 4.0000 - 0.7855 bias 9.0000 - 3.3711 bias
TOTAL 46.109528 41.007463 3.913032 3.235143