Poll Average Details- MN US President - 2012-11-06 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Barack ObamaMitt Romney Gary Johnson James E. Harris Virgil H. Goode, Jr. Jill Stein Harley G. MikkelsonRoss C. "Rocky" Anderson Will Christensen Write-In Jim Carlson Peta Lindsay Roseanne Barr Andre Nigel Barnett Tom Hoefling Jill Reed Dean Morstad Barbara Ann Prokopich
Public Policy Polling11/3X 1.00000   53.0000 - 1.1680 bias 45.0000 - -0.1800 bias                              
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   50.0000 - 1.4134 bias 43.0000 - 0.0288 bias                              
NMB Research (R)10/31X 0.95000   45.0000 - -1.6254 bias 46.0000 - 5.6855 bias                              
Survey USA10/28X 0.90000   50.0000 - 0.5274 bias 43.0000 - 0.3265 bias                              
Mason-Dixon10/25X 0.85000   47.0000 - 0.4277 bias 44.0000 - 0.8543 bias                              
Rasmussen Reports10/21X 0.78333   51.0000 - 0.4180 bias 46.0000 - 1.5977 bias                              
Saint Cloud State University10/21X 0.78333   53.0000 - 2.5246 bias 45.0000 - -0.4630 bias                              
TOTAL 49.146727 43.392200 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000