Poll Average Details- MA US President - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Barack ObamaMitt Romney Mitt Romney Others Gary Johnson Jill Stein No Preference
Princeton Survey Research Associates11/3X 1.00000   57.0000 - 1.8159 bias 37.0000 - -1.1956 bias      
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   57.0000 - 1.4134 bias 37.0000 - 0.0288 bias      
Public Policy Polling11/2X 0.98333   57.0000 - 1.1680 bias 42.0000 - -0.1800 bias      
Western New England University11/1X 0.96667   58.0000 - -0.3485 bias 40.0000 - -0.5328 bias      
Kimball Political Consulting (R)11/1X 0.96667   54.0000 - -2.2504 bias 41.4000 - 3.8426 bias      
Suffolk University10/28X 0.90000   63.0000 - 1.6356 bias 31.0000 - -2.1317 bias   1.0000 - 1.1435 bias 1.0000 - 1.6218 bias
University of New Hampshire10/28X 0.90000   52.0000 - 2.6652 bias 38.0000 - -2.2994 bias      
Rasmussen Reports10/25X 0.85000   59.0000 - 0.4180 bias 40.0000 - 1.5977 bias      
MassINC Polling Group10/22X 0.80000   56.0000 - -0.0957 bias 36.0000 - 0.8107 bias      
TOTAL 56.265137 38.128970 0.000000 -0.143500 -0.621800