Poll Average Details- MD US President - 2012-11-06 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Barack ObamaMitt Romney Mitt RomneyGary Johnson Virgil H. Goode, Jr. Jill Stein James N. Clymer Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson Santa Claus Write-In Stephen Durham Richard A. Duncan Darrell Hykes Nelson Keyton Fred Donald Dickson, Jr. Tiffany Briscoe Merlin Miller Roseanne Barr Andre Nigel Barnett Terrance "T.J." O'Hara Jill Reed Dean Morstad Michael David Boyles Cecil James Roth Dennis Knill Paul Chehade Barbara Ann Prokopich Matthew Lydick David Crosby Dwight Kenneth French Robert William Dietz
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   59.0000 - 1.4134 bias 37.0000 - 0.0288 bias                                                        
OpinionWorks10/23X 0.81667   55.0000 - 1.0656 bias 36.0000 - 0.7707 bias                                                        
Abt SRBI10/15X 0.68333   60.0000 - 0.1922 bias 36.0000 - -0.7883 bias                                                        
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies9/23X 0.31667   55.0000 - -3.0954 bias 36.0000 - 2.2119 bias                                                        
TOTAL 57.123751 36.063917 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000