Poll Average Details- GA US President - 2012-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Newt GingrichBarack Obama Barack ObamaGary Johnson Gary JohnsonJames E. Harris Virgil H. Goode, Jr. Jill Stein Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson David C. Byrne Darrell Hykes Erin Kent Magee Jill Reed
YouGov11/3X 1.00000   52.0000 - 0.0288 bias 44.0000 - 1.4134 bias                  
2020 Insight Polling (D)10/31X 0.95000   52.0000 - -2.3179 bias 46.0000 - 1.8759 bias                  
Survey USA10/28X 0.90000   52.0000 - 0.3265 bias 44.0000 - 0.5274 bias                  
Landmark Communications (R)10/25X 0.85000   53.0000 - -0.2052 bias 42.0000 - 0.2105 bias                  
Abt SRBI10/11X 0.61667   51.0000 - -0.7883 bias 43.0000 - 0.1922 bias                  
Insider Advantage9/18X 0.23333   56.0000 - 0.0480 bias 35.0000 - -0.0455 bias                  
TOTAL 52.812167 42.577217 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000