Poll Average Details- FL US President - 2012-11-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mitt Romney Barack Obama Barack ObamaRoseanne Barr Gary Johnson R. J. HarrisAndre Nigel Barnett Thomas Robert Stevens Stewart Alexander Jill Stein Ross C. "Rocky" Anderson Stephen Durham Richard A. Duncan Erin Kent Magee Jill Reed Andrew Charles Coniglio Tom Hoefling Virgil H. Goode, Jr. Peta Lindsay
Gravis Marketing11/5X 1.00000   49.0000 - 0.2608 bias 49.0000 - 1.1590 bias                              
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics11/4X 0.98333   44.7000 - -3.7493 bias 48.9000 - -1.6059 bias   0.8000 - 0.9001 bias       1.0000 - 0.6870 bias               0.2000 - 0.2123 bias  
Reuters/Ipsos11/4X 0.98333   46.0000 - 0.8563 bias 46.0000 - 3.1158 bias                              
Insider Advantage11/4X 0.98333   52.0000 - 0.0480 bias 47.0000 - -0.0455 bias                              
Public Policy Polling11/4X 0.98333   49.0000 - -0.1800 bias 50.0000 - 1.1680 bias                              
YouGov11/3X 0.96667   48.0000 - 0.0288 bias 47.0000 - 1.4134 bias                              
Mellman Group (D)11/2X 0.95000   45.0000 - -2.5182 bias 47.0000 - 3.6270 bias                              
Marist Institute11/1X 0.93333   47.0000 - -0.4397 bias 49.0000 - 0.7635 bias                              
Mason-Dixon11/1X 0.93333   51.0000 - 0.8543 bias 45.0000 - 0.4277 bias                              
We Ask America10/30X 0.90000   49.8000 - 0.7934 bias 48.9000 - -0.1888 bias                              
Pulse Opinion Research10/29X 0.88333   50.0000 - 1.6194 bias 48.0000 - -0.2544 bias                              
Grove Insight (D)10/29X 0.88333   47.0000 - -1.0926 bias 48.0000 - 2.8547 bias                              
Quinnipiac University10/28X 0.86667   47.0000 - -0.2682 bias 48.0000 - 1.0754 bias                              
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/28X 0.86667   48.0000 - 0.4312 bias 48.0000 - 0.8608 bias   1.0000 - 2.2808 bias       1.0000 - 1.3465 bias                  
Survey USA10/27X 0.85000   47.0000 - 0.3265 bias 47.0000 - 0.5274 bias                              
Rasmussen Reports10/24X 0.80000   50.0000 - 1.5977 bias 48.0000 - 0.4180 bias                              
Voter Survey Service (R)10/24X 0.80000   51.0000 - 0.3855 bias 46.0000 - -0.0542 bias                              
Pharos Research Group10/21X 0.75000   46.6400 - 1.0763 bias 46.7700 - 1.6664 bias                              
Angus Reid10/20X 0.73333   51.0000 - 1.4048 bias 46.0000 - 0.9842 bias                              
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/18X 0.70000   48.0000 - -0.5021 bias 45.0000 - 1.0608 bias                              
Zogby Interactive10/18X 0.70000   42.0000 - 0.8374 bias 48.0000 - 0.0637 bias                              
American Research Group10/11X 0.58333   49.0000 - 0.7892 bias 46.0000 - -0.0031 bias                              
QStar News10/10X 0.56667   51.8800 - 4.5177 bias 43.9000 - -5.3880 bias   4.2200 - 1.5597 bias                          
University of North Florida10/9X 0.55000   45.0000 - -2.2656 bias 49.0000 - 2.1294 bias                              
Suffolk University9/30X 0.40000   43.1700 - -2.1317 bias 45.8300 - 1.6356 bias 0.6700 - 0.1452 bias 0.8300 - 1.1435 bias 0.0000 - -0.0534 bias 0.0000 - -0.0455 bias 0.0000 - -0.0094 bias 0.5000 - 0.4664 bias 0.1700 - 0.1651 bias           0.1700 - 0.1746 bias 0.0000 - 0.0550 bias 0.1700 - 0.3896 bias
Washington Post/ABC News9/23X 0.28333   47.0000 - -1.2476 bias 51.0000 - 2.1552 bias                              
Purple Strategies (Purple Poll)9/19X 0.21667   48.0000 - 1.0665 bias 47.0000 - 1.2082 bias                              
McLaughlin & Associates (R)9/12X 0.10000   47.7000 - 4.0805 bias 43.8000 - -3.4211 bias                              
Consensus Communications9/11X 0.08333   42.0000 - 0.8690 bias 42.0000 - -0.0079 bias                              
TOTAL 47.907208 46.616332 0.524800 0.061649 0.053400 0.045500 0.009400 0.009299 0.004900 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.004600 -0.024647 -0.219600