Poll Average Details- LA District 07 - Initial Election - 2004-11-02 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Charles W. Boustany, Jr.	Willie Landry Mount	Donald R. "Don" Cravins Sr.	David Thibodaux	Malcolm R. Carriere
Unknown	11/1	X 1.00000		33.0000 - -1.9758 bias	25.0000 - 3.3116 bias	23.0000 - 3.3116 bias	11.0000 - -1.9758 bias
Verne Kennedy	10/31	X 0.98333		30.0000 - 3.3679 bias	25.0000 - -1.0482 bias	20.0000 - -1.0482 bias	11.0000 - 3.3679 bias
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	10/6	X 0.56667		32.0000 - 2.6066 bias	26.0000 - -1.2825 bias	21.0000 - -1.2825 bias	10.0000 - 2.6066 bias
TOTAL				30.517761	24.612763	20.789234	9.674624	0.000000