Poll Average Details- NH Governor - 2002-11-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Craig Benson Gordon J. Humphrey	Mark Fernald Mark Fernald	John Babiarz	Others
University of New Hampshire	11/2	X 1.00000		52.0000 - -2.2994 bias	38.0000 - 2.6652 bias	3.0000 - 0.3437 bias
Research 2000	10/31	X 0.96667		54.0000 - 0.1379 bias	40.0000 - 1.1463 bias	3.0000 - -0.0712 bias
American Research Group	10/30	X 0.95000		52.0000 - 0.7892 bias	36.0000 - -0.0031 bias
Franklin Pierce College	10/30	X 0.95000		44.0000 - -2.2885 bias	36.0000 - 3.6749 bias	2.0000 - -0.2014 bias
Becker Institute, Inc.	10/23	X 0.83333		52.0000 - -1.3378 bias	32.0000 - 2.4670 bias
Bannon Communications Research	9/21	X 0.30000		40.0000 - -1.5017 bias	40.0000 - 3.0860 bias
TOTAL				51.177822	34.698040	2.645642	0.000000