Poll Average Details- MN Governor - 2010-11-02 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mark Dayton R. T. RybakTom Emmer Leslie DavisTom Horner No PreferenceKen Pentel T. Christopher Wright Leslie Davis Write-In Peter Idusogie Oloveuse S. "Ole" Savior Farheen Hakeem No CandidateJohn Uldrich Linda S. Eno Sherif Mansour
Public Policy Polling10/29X 1.00000   43.0000 - 0.2505 bias 40.0000 - -0.1911 bias 15.0000 - 1.1797 bias                    
Survey USA10/27X 0.96667   39.0000 - 0.0003 bias 38.0000 - 0.3321 bias 13.0000 - 0.2458 bias                    
Humphrey Institute/University of Minnesota10/25X 0.93333   41.0000 - 1.4918 bias 29.0000 - -1.4775 bias 11.0000 - 1.9238 bias                    
Public Opinion Strategies (R)10/25X 0.93333   40.0000 - -0.6163 bias 40.0000 - 2.6067 bias 13.0000 - 0.9371 bias                    
Princeton Survey Research Associates10/21X 0.86667   41.0000 - 1.4368 bias 34.0000 - -1.1956 bias 13.0000 - 0.7498 bias                    
Saint Cloud University10/21X 0.86667   40.0000 - 6.5182 bias 30.0000 - -3.5654 bias 19.0000 - 4.7569 bias                    
Rasmussen Reports10/20X 0.85000   44.0000 - 2.9187 bias 41.0000 - 1.5749 bias 10.0000 - 0.3537 bias                    
TOTAL 39.499769 36.320055 12.006141 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000