[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Paul LePage | Eliot Cutler | Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell | Shawn H. Moody | Kevin L. Scott | J. Martin "Marty" Vachon | Edwin S. Braley | Beverly Cooper-Pete | John T. Jenkins | Samuel A. Bailey |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Pan Atlantic SMS | 10/28 | X 1.00000 | 36.8000 - -2.6054 bias | 30.6000 - 1.5655 bias | 21.8000 - 2.1754 bias | 2.8000 - 1.5655 bias | 1.1000 - 1.5655 bias | ||||||

Public Policy Polling | 10/28 | X 1.00000 | 40.0000 - 0.0973 bias | 28.0000 - 2.9345 bias | 24.0000 - 0.9088 bias | 4.0000 - 2.9345 bias | 1.0000 - 2.9345 bias | ||||||

Rasmussen Reports | 10/26 | X 0.96667 | 40.0000 - 1.6097 bias | 26.0000 - 1.2092 bias | 26.0000 - 0.4145 bias | ||||||||

FrederickPolls | 10/17 | X 0.81667 | X 1/2 | 32.0000 - -2.4498 bias | 26.0000 - 3.3398 bias | 27.0000 - -0.4516 bias | 6.0000 - 3.3398 bias | ||||||

Critical Insights | 10/17 | X 0.81667 | 32.0000 - -0.3271 bias | 19.0000 - -3.0453 bias | 20.0000 - 1.9814 bias | 5.0000 - -3.0453 bias | 1.0000 - -3.0453 bias | ||||||

Maine Center for Public Opinion | 10/7 | X 0.65000 | 29.6000 - 1.6266 bias | 11.1000 - -6.3944 bias | 28.7000 - 8.2011 bias | 4.9000 - -6.3944 bias | 1.6000 - -6.3944 bias | ||||||

TOTAL | 36.158809 | 24.101696 | 22.037314 | 4.463984 | 1.759622 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |