Poll Average Details- NY US Senate - 2010-11-02 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Charles E. "Chuck" Schumer Jay Townsend Jay Townsend Scattering Randy Credico Sam SloanColia Clark
YouGov10/31X 1.00000   60.0000 - 1.4134 bias 33.8000 - 0.0288 bias      
Siena Research Institute10/30X 0.98333   64.0000 - 0.4840 bias 32.0000 - -0.0165 bias      
Rasmussen Reports10/19X 0.80000   59.0000 - 0.4180 bias 31.0000 - 1.5977 bias      
New York Times10/15X 0.73333   61.0000 - 1.0972 bias 21.0000 - -0.5502 bias      
Survey USA10/13X 0.70000   63.0000 - 0.5274 bias 30.0000 - 0.3265 bias      
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/5X 0.56667   57.0000 - 0.8608 bias 41.0000 - 0.4312 bias      
Quinnipiac University10/5X 0.56667   63.0000 - 1.0754 bias 32.0000 - -0.2682 bias      
Public Policy Polling10/3X 0.53333   59.0000 - 1.1680 bias 37.0000 - -0.1800 bias      
Marist Institute9/22X 0.35000   58.0000 - 0.7635 bias 37.0000 - -0.4397 bias      
TOTAL 59.895476 32.014715 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000