Poll Average Details- NJ Governor - 2005-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Jon S. Corzine Douglas R. "Doug" Forrester Edward "NJ Weedman" Forchion Constantino Rozzo Richard J. Codey Angela L. Lariscy Hector L. Castillo Michael Latigona Wesley K. Bell Jeffrey Pawlowski Matthew Thieke
Rasmussen Reports11/6X 1.00000   44.0000 - 0.4180 bias 39.0000 - 1.5977 bias                  
Survey USA11/6X 1.00000   50.0000 - 0.5274 bias 44.0000 - 0.3265 bias                  
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)11/5X 0.98333   43.0000 - 2.5840 bias 37.0000 - -2.6758 bias                  
Quinnipiac University11/5X 0.98333   52.0000 - 1.0754 bias 45.0000 - -0.2682 bias                  
Monmouth University11/4X 0.96667   47.0000 - 1.9679 bias 38.0000 - -0.9091 bias                  
Marist Institute11/3X 0.95000   49.0000 - 0.7635 bias 40.0000 - -0.4397 bias                  
Fairleigh Dickinson University11/1X 0.91667   43.0000 - -0.3787 bias 41.0000 - 0.7776 bias                  
Research 200010/27X 0.83333   51.0000 - 1.1463 bias 42.0000 - 0.1379 bias                  
Zogby International10/27X 0.83333   47.0000 - 0.8870 bias 40.0000 - 0.0434 bias                  
New York Times10/19X 0.70000   46.0000 - 1.0972 bias 37.0000 - -0.5502 bias                  
Strategic Vision (R)10/10X 0.55000   46.0000 - -0.4798 bias 40.0000 - 1.1151 bias                  
Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D)10/3X 0.43333   46.0000 - 3.5544 bias 33.0000 - -1.4053 bias                  
TOTAL 46.044686 40.223398 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000