Poll Average Details- LA US Senate - 2010-11-02 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal David Vitter David VitterCharles J. "Charlie" Melancon Charles J. "Charlie" MelanconSam Houston Melton Jr. R.A. "Skip" Galan Ernest D. Wooton Randall T. Hayes Randall T. HayesWilliam Robert "Bob" Lang, Jr. Michael Lane "Mike" Spears Michael Karlton Brown Milton Gordon Thomas G. "Tommy" LaFargue William R. McShan
Anzalone Liszt Research (D)10/19X 1.00000   48.0000 - -2.1911 bias 45.0000 - 3.6481 bias                    
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R)10/10X 0.85000   51.0000 - 0.4956 bias 35.0000 - -0.5207 bias                    
Rasmussen Reports8/30X 0.16667   54.0000 - 1.5977 bias 33.0000 - 0.4180 bias                    
Public Policy Polling8/22X 0.03333   51.0000 - -0.1800 bias 41.0000 - 1.1680 bias                    
TOTAL 50.516857 38.196372 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000