Poll Average Details- LA Governor - Initial Election - 2003-10-04 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Bobby Jindal Kathleen Babineaux Blanco Richard Ieyoub Hunt Downer A. Claude "Buddy" Leach, Jr. Randy Ewing J.E. Jumonville, Jr. Patrick "Live Wire" Landry J. Alan Allgood Mike Stagg Quentin R. Brown, Jr. Patrick Henry "Dat" Barthel J. D. "Boudreaux" Estilette Edward "Eddie" Mangin Richard McCoy Fred Robertson John M. "Doc" Simoneaux, Jr.
Mason-Dixon9/30X 1.00000   27.0000 - 0.8543 bias 16.0000 - 0.4277 bias 15.0000 - 0.4277 bias   11.0000 - 0.4277 bias 8.0000 - 0.4277 bias                      
Market Research Insight9/30X 1.00000   23.0000 - -0.5645 bias 16.0000 - 2.1422 bias 11.0000 - 2.1422 bias 6.0000 - -0.5645 bias 9.0000 - 2.1422 bias 10.0000 - 2.1422 bias                      
Southland Opinion Research9/29X 0.98333   16.0000 - -4.1623 bias 21.0000 - 2.3335 bias 19.0000 - 2.3335 bias 12.0000 - -4.1623 bias 4.0000 - 2.3335 bias 6.0000 - 2.3335 bias 14.0000 - 2.3335 bias                    
Southern Wolfe and Anders9/29X 0.98333   15.0000 - -3.9476 bias 18.0000 - 2.2477 bias 15.0000 - 2.2477 bias 10.0000 - -3.9476 bias 8.0000 - 2.2477 bias 7.0000 - 2.2477 bias 8.0000 - 2.2477 bias                    
Zogby International9/22X 0.86667   22.0000 - 0.0434 bias 23.0000 - 0.8870 bias 14.0000 - 0.8870 bias 6.0000 - 0.0434 bias 9.0000 - 0.8870 bias 8.0000 - 0.8870 bias                      
MRI Consulting9/21X 0.85000   22.0000 - 2.3951 bias 19.0000 - -0.2520 bias 14.0000 - -0.2520 bias 5.0000 - 2.3951 bias 6.0000 - -0.2520 bias 8.0000 - -0.2520 bias                      
Loyola Institute of Politics9/21X 0.85000   18.0000 - 1.2681 bias 21.0000 - 0.1035 bias 10.0000 - 0.1035 bias 4.0000 - 1.2681 bias 9.0000 - 0.1035 bias 11.0000 - 0.1035 bias                      
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)9/5X 0.58333   16.0000 - -2.3099 bias 18.0000 - 2.7672 bias 10.0000 - 2.7672 bias 7.0000 - -2.3099 bias 13.0000 - 2.7672 bias 6.0000 - 2.7672 bias 2.0000 - 2.7672 bias                    
Southern Media & Opinion8/25X 0.40000   14.2000 - 1.0539 bias 15.3000 - 0.2495 bias 9.6000 - 0.2495 bias 6.3000 - 1.0539 bias 10.6000 - 0.2495 bias 6.4000 - 0.2495 bias                      
VCR Firm8/18X 0.28333   14.0000 - -5.6297 bias 19.0000 - 2.4632 bias 14.0000 - 2.4632 bias 8.0000 - -5.6297 bias 13.0000 - 2.4632 bias 8.0000 - 2.4632 bias                      
Anderson Group8/6X 0.08333   15.0000 - 0.1269 bias 14.0000 - -1.6738 bias 10.0000 - -1.6738 bias 5.0000 - 0.1269 bias 7.0000 - -1.6738 bias 6.0000 - -1.6738 bias                      
TOTAL 20.400506 17.437250 12.234713 8.377960 7.414417 6.685453 6.541550 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000