Poll Average Details- FL Governor - 2002-11-05 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Jeb Bush William H. "Bill" McBride, Jr. Bob Kunst Nancy Grant John Wayne Smith Rachele Fruit Terry "Mickey Faust" Galloway C.C. Reed
Survey USA11/4X 1.00000   51.0000 - 0.3265 bias 46.0000 - 0.5274 bias            
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)10/29X 0.90000   48.0000 - -2.3099 bias 45.0000 - 2.7672 bias            
Mason-Dixon10/25X 0.83333   51.0000 - 0.8543 bias 43.0000 - 0.4277 bias            
Insider Advantage10/19X 0.73333   45.0000 - 0.0480 bias 49.0000 - -0.0455 bias            
McLaughlin & Associates (R)10/17X 0.70000   49.2000 - 4.0805 bias 40.5000 - -3.4211 bias            
Zogby International10/11X 0.60000   48.0000 - 0.0434 bias 45.0000 - 0.8870 bias            
The Marketing Workshop10/5X 0.50000   47.0000 - -5.3621 bias 42.0000 - 6.8776 bias            
Schroth Eldon & Associates (D)9/26X 0.35000   50.0000 - -2.5492 bias 44.0000 - 4.6676 bias            
Hamilton Campaigns (D)9/15X 0.16667   48.0000 - -1.1628 bias 43.0000 - 2.0559 bias            
TOTAL 49.077229 43.277786 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000