Poll Average Details- CA US Senate - 2010-11-02 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Barbara Boxer Robert M. "Mickey" Kaus	Carly Fiorina Carly Fiorina	Ed Noonan Al Salehi	Gail K. Lightfoot	Duane Roberts	James E. Harris	Marsha Feinland	Connor Vlakancic	Jerry L. Carroll	Hans J. Kugler
Survey USA	10/31	X 1.00000		46.0000 - 0.5274 bias	38.0000 - 0.3265 bias
YouGov	10/31	X 1.00000		48.8000 - 1.4134 bias	45.0000 - 0.0288 bias
Rasmussen Reports	10/27	X 0.93333		49.0000 - 0.4180 bias	46.0000 - 1.5977 bias
Field Poll	10/26	X 0.91667		49.0000 - 2.0302 bias	41.0000 - 0.8139 bias
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)	10/26	X 0.91667		50.0000 - 0.8608 bias	45.0000 - 0.4312 bias
Suffolk University	10/24	X 0.88333		52.0000 - 1.6356 bias	43.0000 - -2.1317 bias	1.0000 - -0.0802 bias	2.0000 - 1.1435 bias	1.0000 - 0.4664 bias
Public Policy Polling	10/23	X 0.86667		52.0000 - 1.1680 bias	43.0000 - -0.1800 bias
Los Angeles Times	10/20	X 0.81667		47.0000 - 4.8655 bias	41.0000 - 1.3341 bias
Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)	10/17	X 0.76667		43.0000 - 0.3912 bias	38.0000 - 3.9791 bias
Pulse Opinion Research	10/16	X 0.75000		48.0000 - -0.2544 bias	44.0000 - 1.6194 bias
Reuters/Ipsos	10/14	X 0.71667		46.0000 - 3.1158 bias	45.0000 - 0.8563 bias
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)	10/14	X 0.71667		43.0000 - -2.2598 bias	46.0000 - 2.8390 bias
Angus Reid	10/6	X 0.58333		55.0000 - 0.9842 bias	39.0000 - 1.4048 bias
ccAdvertising (R)	9/29	X 0.46667		42.2300 - -1.7906 bias	46.3300 - 4.4041 bias
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)	9/22	X 0.35000		51.0000 - 2.2053 bias	43.0000 - -1.6043 bias
TOTAL				47.110942	41.854975	1.080200	0.856500	0.533600	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000