[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.

A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.

[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.

[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.

[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll | Mid Date | Time Weight | Internal | Frank Lautenberg Frank Lautenberg | Richard "Dick" Zimmer Richard "Dick" Zimmer | J.M. Carter | Daryl Brooks | Sara J. Lobman | Jason M. Scheurer | Jeffrey Boss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

YouGov | 11/1 | X 1.00000 | 48.0000 - 1.3621 bias | 34.0000 - 0.0717 bias | ||||||

Monmouth University | 10/31 | X 0.98333 | 50.0000 - 1.2762 bias | 31.0000 - -0.3486 bias | ||||||

Research 2000 | 10/28 | X 0.93333 | 56.0000 - 1.1225 bias | 39.0000 - 0.1377 bias | ||||||

Strategic Vision (R) | 10/26 | X 0.90000 | 49.0000 - -0.4793 bias | 41.0000 - 1.1147 bias | ||||||

Marist Institute | 10/21 | X 0.81667 | 48.0000 - 0.4625 bias | 41.0000 - -0.3584 bias | ||||||

Quinnipiac University | 10/19 | X 0.78333 | 55.0000 - 0.3688 bias | 33.0000 - 0.1363 bias | ||||||

Survey USA | 10/12 | X 0.66667 | 51.0000 - 0.4044 bias | 38.0000 - 0.3780 bias | ||||||

Rasmussen Reports | 10/7 | X 0.58333 | 51.0000 - 0.4145 bias | 37.0000 - 1.6097 bias | ||||||

Fairleigh Dickinson University | 9/7 | X 0.08333 | 46.0000 - -0.5018 bias | 35.0000 - 0.8750 bias | ||||||

TOTAL | 50.226740 | 36.297979 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |