Poll Average Details- AZ US President - D Primary - 2008-02-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonBarack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn Edwards Hillary ClintonMike Gravel Hillary ClintonChris Dodd Hillary ClintonDennis J. Kucinich Hillary ClintonBill Richardson Hillary ClintonChuck See Hillary ClintonKarl Krueger Hillary ClintonRichard Grayson Hillary ClintonEvelyn Vitullo Hillary ClintonFrank Lynch Hillary ClintonPeter Simon Bollander Hillary ClintonWilliam Campbell Hillary ClintonEdward Dobson Hillary ClintonTish Haymer Hillary ClintonRich Lee Hillary ClintonLeland Montell Hillary ClintonMichael Oatman Hillary ClintonPhilip Tanner Hillary ClintonSandy Whitehouse Hillary ClintonLoti Gest Hillary ClintonOrion K. Daley Hillary ClintonLibby Hubbard Hillary Clinton
Mason-Dixon2/2X 1.00000   43.0000 41.0000                                            
Rasmussen Reports1/31X 0.96667   46.0000 41.0000                                            
Behavior Research Center1/24X 0.85000   38.0000 32.0000 16.0000 1.0000                                        
KAET-TV1/22X 0.81667   45.0000 24.0000                                            
TOTAL 43.077982 35.073394 16.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000