Poll Average Details- NJ Governor - 2009-11-03 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Chris Christie Chris ChristieJon S. Corzine Jon S. CorzineChris Daggett Greg Pason Others Joshua Leinsdorf Angela L. Lariscy Kenneth R. Kaplan Gary Stein Alvin Lindsay, Jr. Kostas Petris Jason Cullen David R. Meiswinkle Gary T. Steele Eddie McOwskey John Meehan Floyd Vivino Carl Klapper
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)11/1X 1.00000   37.0000 - -1.6043 bias 41.0000 - 2.2053 bias 15.0000 - 4.5188 bias                              
Fairleigh Dickinson University11/1X 1.00000   41.0000 - 0.7776 bias 43.0000 - -0.3787 bias 8.0000 - 1.7678 bias                              
Survey USA11/1X 1.00000   45.0000 - 0.3265 bias 42.0000 - 0.5274 bias 10.0000 - 1.6199 bias                              
Monmouth University11/1X 1.00000   41.0000 - -0.9091 bias 43.0000 - 1.9679 bias 8.0000 - 0.6269 bias                              
Quinnipiac University11/1X 1.00000   42.0000 - -0.2682 bias 40.0000 - 1.0754 bias 12.0000 - 4.3101 bias                              
Public Policy Polling11/1X 1.00000   47.0000 - -0.1800 bias 41.0000 - 1.1680 bias 11.0000 - 2.9345 bias                              
YouGov10/30X 0.96667   41.0000 - 0.0288 bias 43.0000 - 1.4134 bias 8.0000 - 1.2001 bias                              
Rasmussen Reports10/29X 0.95000   46.0000 - 1.5977 bias 43.0000 - 0.4180 bias 8.0000 - 1.2092 bias                              
Zogby International10/29X 0.95000   39.0000 - 0.0434 bias 40.0000 - 0.8870 bias 14.0000 - 3.0300 bias                              
Neighborhood Research (R)10/29X 0.95000   43.0000 - 6.5235 bias 35.0000 - -6.4383 bias 8.0000 - 3.5436 bias                              
Research 200010/28X 0.93333   42.0000 - 0.1379 bias 41.0000 - 1.1463 bias 14.0000 - 2.3294 bias                              
Suffolk University10/25X 0.88333   33.0000 - -2.1317 bias 42.0000 - 1.6356 bias 7.0000 - 1.6824 bias                              
Eagleton Poll (Rutgers Univ.)10/20X 0.80000   36.0000 - -2.6758 bias 39.0000 - 2.5840 bias 20.0000 - 9.8435 bias                              
New York Times - CBS News10/14X 0.70000   39.0000 - -1.4721 bias 40.0000 - 2.0567 bias 14.0000 - 3.6328 bias                              
Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D)10/5X 0.55000   43.0000 - -1.4053 bias 38.0000 - 3.5544 bias 16.0000 - 7.8524 bias                              
Strategic Vision (R)9/20X 0.30000   46.0000 - 1.1151 bias 38.0000 - -0.4798 bias 8.0000 - 1.4515 bias                              
TOTAL 41.161174 40.022349 8.103885 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000