Poll Average Details- PER President - 2006-04-09 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ollanta Humala Alan García Lourdes Flores Nano Martha Chávez Valentín Paniagua Jaime Salinas López-Torres Javier Diez Canseco Alberto Borea Odría Natale Amprimo Ricardo Wong Humberto Lay Sun Susana Villarán Pedro Koechlin von Stein Ulises Humala Javier Espinoza José Cardó Guarderas Ántero Asto Luis Guerrero Figueroa Alberto Moreno Ciro Gálvez
Universidad de Lima4/5X 1.00000   29.2000 - -0.9102 bias 21.9000 - 6.7517 bias 25.6000 - 9.5626 bias                                  
Datum Internacional4/5X 1.00000   26.0000 - 0.5721 bias 24.0000 - 5.7415 bias 24.0000 - 8.6183 bias                                  
Apoyo / El Comercio3/31X 0.91667   31.0000 - 1.0279 bias 23.0000 - 2.8974 bias 26.0000 - 6.4184 bias 6.0000 - -0.4562 bias                                
TOTAL 28.461437 17.771720 16.926480 6.456200 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000