Poll Average Details- NJ US President - D Primary - 2008-02-05 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Hillary Clinton Hillary ClintonBarack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn Edwards Hillary ClintonDennis J. Kucinich Hillary ClintonJoe Biden Hillary ClintonBill Richardson Hillary Clinton
Zogby International2/4X 1.00000   46.0000 41.0000        
Rasmussen Reports2/4X 1.00000   49.0000 43.0000        
Survey USA2/3X 0.98333   52.0000 41.0000        
Strategic Vision (R)2/3X 0.98333   47.0000 41.0000        
Quinnipiac University2/3X 0.98333   48.0000 43.0000        
Mason-Dixon2/1X 0.95000   46.0000 39.0000        
Monmouth University2/1X 0.95000   50.0000 36.0000        
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)1/31X 0.93333   44.0000 38.0000 3.0000 1.0000    
Research 20001/10X 0.58333   48.0000 23.0000 11.0000      
TOTAL 47.786853 39.089641 6.076923 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000