Poll Average Details- IA US President - R Caucus - 2008-01-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mike Huckabee Mike HuckabeeMitt Romney Mike HuckabeeFred Thompson Mike HuckabeeJohn McCain Mike HuckabeeRudy Giuliani Mike HuckabeeRon Paul Mike HuckabeeTom Tancredo Mike HuckabeeDuncan L. Hunter Mike HuckabeeSam Brownback Mike HuckabeeJohn H. Cox Mike HuckabeeHugh Cort Mike HuckabeeNeal "Cap" Fendig Mike HuckabeeVern Wuensche Mike Huckabee
Zogby International1/2X 1.00000   31.0000 25.0000 11.0000 10.0000 6.0000 10.0000   1.0000          
Strategic Vision (R)12/30X 0.95000   28.0000 30.0000 13.0000 16.0000 4.0000 4.0000   1.0000          
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)12/30X 0.95000   28.0000 31.0000 13.0000 10.0000 8.0000 8.0000              
Selzer & Co.12/30X 0.95000   32.0000 26.0000 9.0000 13.0000 5.0000 9.0000   1.0000          
American Research Group12/28X 0.91667   23.0000 32.0000 7.0000 11.0000 6.0000 6.0000   2.0000          
Mason-Dixon12/28X 0.91667   23.0000 27.0000 14.0000 13.0000 5.0000 5.0000   1.0000          
Research 200012/27X 0.90000   34.0000 27.0000 11.0000 8.0000 8.0000 8.0000   1.0000          
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg12/23X 0.83333   37.0000 23.0000 11.0000 11.0000                  
Insider Advantage12/17X 0.73333   28.0000 25.0000 10.0000 9.0000 6.0000 6.0000              
Washington Post/ABC News12/17X 0.73333   35.0000 27.0000 9.0000 6.0000 8.0000 8.0000              
Financial Dynamics12/12X 0.65000   36.0000 23.0000 8.0000 5.0000 12.0000 5.0000 1.0000            
Rasmussen Reports12/10X 0.61667   39.0000 23.0000 8.0000 6.0000 8.0000 5.0000 3.0000 1.0000          
Princeton Survey Research Associates12/6X 0.55000   39.0000 17.0000 10.0000 6.0000 9.0000 8.0000              
Pew Research11/25X 0.36667   24.0000 25.0000 12.0000 5.0000 16.0000 5.0000              
New York Times - CBS News11/12X 0.15000   21.0000 27.0000 9.0000 3.0000 15.0000 4.0000 3.0000 2.0000          
TOTAL 30.780089 26.303120 10.509658 9.713224 7.271268 6.805778 2.082353 1.166667 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000