Poll Average Details- LA District 2 - 2006-11-07 22:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal William J. Jefferson Karen Carter Peterson Troy A. Carter Joe Lavigne Derrick D. T. Shepherd Gregory W. Kahn M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza Scott Barron Regina Bartholomew Eric T. Bradley Deven "D.C." Collins John Edwards Lawrence William "Lance" von Uhde, III
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)10/25X 1.00000   28.0000 - 2.0583 bias 28.0000 - 2.0583 bias 12.0000 - 2.0583 bias 5.0000 - -7.2818 bias 10.0000 - 2.0583 bias                
Ed Renwick10/24X 0.98333   20.0000 - 2.6559 bias 15.0000 - 2.6559 bias 15.0000 - 2.6559 bias 3.0000 - -2.7433 bias 10.0000 - 2.6559 bias                
Verne Kennedy10/11X 0.76667   25.0000 - -1.0472 bias 14.0000 - -1.0472 bias   13.0000 - 3.3671 bias 9.0000 - -1.0472 bias                
TOTAL 22.896819 18.042273 11.132806 9.205310 8.315001 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000