Poll Average Details- MN Governor - 1998-11-03 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Norm Coleman Jesse Ventura Hubert "Skip" Humphrey III Hubert "Skip" Humphrey III Others Thomas A. Fiske Ken Pentel T. Christopher Wright Frank Germann Fancy Ray McCloney
Star Tribune10/30X 1.00000   30.0000 - -1.9492 bias 27.0000 - -7.6479 bias 35.0000 - 5.3550 bias            
Saint Cloud University10/29X 0.98333   30.0000 - -3.5654 bias 27.0000 - -6.6587 bias 32.0000 - 6.5182 bias            
Unknown10/27X 0.95000   34.0000 - -1.9758 bias 21.0000 - -13.6624 bias 35.0000 - 10.8069 bias            
Mason-Dixon10/13X 0.71667   31.0000 - 0.8543 bias 15.0000 - -3.5224 bias 44.0000 - 2.0634 bias            
TOTAL 33.078522 31.218983 29.517839 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000