Poll Average Details- WI US President - 2008-11-04 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Barack ObamaJohn McCain John McCainCynthia McKinney UncommittedBob Barr Ralph Nader Brian P. Moore Gloria E. La Riva Scattering Chuck Baldwin Jeffrey J. Wamboldt
YouGov11/1X 1.00000   53.0000 - 1.4134 bias 41.0000 - 0.0288 bias                
Survey USA10/29X 0.95000   55.0000 - 0.5274 bias 39.0000 - 0.3265 bias                
University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll)10/28X 0.93333   52.0000 - 2.7803 bias 42.0000 - -3.0816 bias                
Research 200010/28X 0.93333   53.0000 - 1.1463 bias 42.0000 - 0.1379 bias                
Strategic Vision (R)10/26X 0.90000   50.0000 - -0.4798 bias 41.0000 - 1.1151 bias                
Rasmussen Reports10/23X 0.85000   51.0000 - 0.4180 bias 44.0000 - 1.5977 bias                
Big Ten10/22X 0.83333   53.0000 - 3.5079 bias 40.0000 - -1.9740 bias                
Financial Dynamics10/20X 0.80000   53.0000 - -0.0513 bias 40.0000 - 1.0303 bias                
Mason-Dixon10/17X 0.75000   51.0000 - 0.4277 bias 39.0000 - 0.8543 bias                
Quinnipiac University10/12X 0.66667   54.0000 - 1.0754 bias 37.0000 - -0.2682 bias                
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/6X 0.56667   51.0000 - 0.8608 bias 46.0000 - 0.4312 bias                
TOTAL 51.332801 40.968566 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000