Poll Average Details- MD US President - 2008-11-04 23:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Barack ObamaJohn McCain John McCain Others Cynthia McKinney Bob Barr Ralph Nader Brian P. Moore Theodis "Ted" Brown, Sr. Alan L. Keyes Joe C. "Average Joe" Schriner Chuck Baldwin Charles "CJ" Jay Blaine Taylor Frank Moore Jose M. Aparicio Lynne A. Starr Ronald G. Hobbs RaeDeen R. Heupel Donald K. Allen
YouGov11/1X 1.00000   60.0000 - 1.4134 bias 35.0000 - 0.0288 bias                                  
Rasmussen Reports9/20X 0.30000   60.0000 - 0.4180 bias 37.0000 - 1.5977 bias                                  
American Research Group9/19X 0.28333   54.0000 - -0.0031 bias 39.0000 - 0.7892 bias                                  
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies9/5X 0.05000   52.0000 - -3.0954 bias 38.0000 - 2.2119 bias                                  
TOTAL 57.867458 35.637360 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000