Poll Average Details- FL US President - 2008-11-04 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Barack Obama Hillary ClintonJohn McCain Mitt RomneyCynthia McKinney Bob Barr Ralph Nader James E. Harris Brian P. Moore Alan L. Keyes Gloria E. La Riva Gene C. Amondson Chuck Baldwin Charles "CJ" Jay Thomas Robert Stevens Gary Nettles
Survey USA11/3X 1.00000   50.0000 - 0.5274 bias 47.0000 - 0.3265 bias                        
Rasmussen Reports11/2X 0.98333   49.0000 - 0.4180 bias 50.0000 - 1.5977 bias                        
Quinnipiac University11/2X 0.98333   47.0000 - 1.0754 bias 45.0000 - -0.2682 bias                        
Public Policy Polling11/2X 0.98333   50.0000 - 1.1680 bias 48.0000 - -0.1800 bias                        
YouGov11/1X 0.96667   49.0000 - 1.4134 bias 47.0000 - 0.0288 bias                        
Zogby International11/1X 0.96667   47.5000 - 0.8870 bias 46.2000 - 0.0434 bias                        
Mason-Dixon10/30X 0.93333   49.0000 - 0.4277 bias 47.0000 - 0.8543 bias                        
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/28X 0.90000   51.0000 - 0.8608 bias 47.0000 - 0.4312 bias                        
Financial Dynamics10/27X 0.88333   45.0000 - -0.0513 bias 44.0000 - 1.0303 bias                        
LA Times10/27X 0.88333   50.0000 - 1.0135 bias 43.0000 - 1.0817 bias                        
Datamar10/26X 0.86667   49.0000 - -1.3774 bias 44.0000 - 3.3400 bias                        
Suffolk University10/26X 0.86667   49.0000 - 1.6356 bias 44.0000 - -2.1317 bias                        
GfK10/26X 0.86667   45.0000 - -2.9532 bias 43.0000 - -4.0330 bias                        
Strategic Vision (R)10/22X 0.80000   46.0000 - -0.4798 bias 48.0000 - 1.1151 bias                        
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R)10/22X 0.80000   49.0000 - 2.6379 bias 42.0000 - -1.9480 bias                        
Hamilton Campaigns (D)10/15X 0.68333   47.0000 - 2.0559 bias 43.0000 - -1.1628 bias                        
Research 200010/15X 0.68333   49.0000 - 1.1463 bias 45.0000 - 0.1379 bias                        
Insider Advantage10/13X 0.65000   48.0000 - -0.0455 bias 44.0000 - 0.0480 bias                        
Zogby Interactive10/9X 0.58333   48.2000 - 0.0637 bias 47.1000 - 0.8374 bias                        
American Research Group9/25X 0.35000   47.0000 - -0.0031 bias 46.0000 - 0.7892 bias                        
TOTAL 47.778908 45.511594 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000