Poll Average Details- US President - D Primaries - 2004-06-09 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal John Kerry John Edwards Howard Dean Wesley Clark Richard "Dick" Gephardt Joe Lieberman Al Sharpton Dennis J. Kucinich Carol Moseley Braun George W. Bush Randy Crow Raymond "RayJ" Caplette Others Hillary Clinton Ralph Nader Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr. Uncommitted Harry W. Braun Caroline P. Killeen Willie Felix Carter Vincent S. Hamm Edward T. O'Donnell, Jr. John Donald Rigazio William J. "Bill" Wyatt Leonard D. Talbow R. Randy Lee Gerry Dokka John Buchanan Katherine Bateman Blake Ashby Fern Penna Mildred Glover Robert H. Linnell William Barchilon Dianne Barker Keith Brand Evelyn Vitullo Huda Muhammad Florence Walker Arthur H. Jackson, Jr. Lucian Wojciechowski Jeanne Chebib Vermin Supreme William H. T. "Bill" McGaughey, Jr. Unidentified Scattering Jeremy Robinson-Leon George H. Ballard III
Rasmussen Reports2/28X 1.00000   47.0000 - 0.4145 bias 32.0000 - 0.4145 bias         6.0000 - 0.4145 bias 2.0000 - 0.4145 bias                                                                              
CBS News2/15X 0.78333   53.0000 - 0.2314 bias 7.0000 - 0.2314 bias 8.0000 - 0.2314 bias       4.0000 - 0.2314 bias 1.0000 - 0.2314 bias                                                                              
Time-CNN2/6X 0.63333   43.0000 - -2.2822 bias 18.0000 - -2.2822 bias 8.0000 - -2.2822 bias 11.0000 - -2.2822 bias     6.0000 - -2.2822 bias 5.0000 - -2.2822 bias                                                                              
FOX News2/5X 0.61667   54.0000 - -0.1896 bias 12.0000 - -0.1896 bias 7.0000 - -0.1896 bias 8.0000 - -0.1896 bias                                                                                      
USA Today/CNN/Gallup2/1X 0.55000   49.0000 - -2.3172 bias 13.0000 - -2.3172 bias 14.0000 - -2.3172 bias 9.0000 - -2.3172 bias   5.0000 - -2.3172 bias 3.0000 - -2.3172 bias 2.0000 - -2.3172 bias                                                                              
Quinnipiac University1/31X 0.53333   42.0000 - 0.3688 bias 10.0000 - 0.3688 bias 11.0000 - 0.3688 bias 10.0000 - 0.3688 bias   6.0000 - 0.3688 bias 5.0000 - 0.3688 bias 1.0000 - 0.3688 bias                                                                              
Newsweek1/30X 0.51667   45.0000 - -2.0497 bias 11.0000 - -2.0497 bias 14.0000 - -2.0497 bias 5.0000 - -2.0497 bias   5.0000 - -2.0497 bias 2.0000 - -2.0497 bias 1.0000 - -2.0497 bias                                                                              
Princeton Survey Research Associates1/23X 0.40000   30.0000 - 1.7657 bias 13.0000 - 1.7657 bias 12.0000 - 1.7657 bias 12.0000 - 1.7657 bias                                                                                      
Unknown1/15X 0.26667   7.0000 - 1.6702 bias 5.0000 - 1.6702 bias 24.0000 - 1.6702 bias 12.0000 - 1.6702 bias 11.0000 - 1.6702 bias 5.0000 - 1.6702 bias 3.0000 - 1.6702 bias 1.0000 - 1.6702 bias 4.0000 - 1.6702 bias                                                                            
NBC News/Wall Street Journal (Hart & McInturff)1/11X 0.20000   7.0000 - 1.4256 bias 5.0000 - 1.4256 bias 24.0000 - 1.4256 bias 19.0000 - 1.4256 bias 11.0000 - 1.4256 bias 12.0000 - 1.4256 bias 5.0000 - 1.4256 bias 2.0000 - 1.4256 bias 3.0000 - 1.4256 bias                                                                            
Associated Press1/7X 0.13333   5.0000 - 1.4729 bias 6.0000 - 1.4729 bias 30.0000 - 1.4729 bias 17.0000 - 1.4729 bias 11.0000 - 1.4729 bias 12.0000 - 1.4729 bias   2.0000 - 1.4729 bias 2.0000 - 1.4729 bias                                                                            
Gallup1/5X 0.10000   12.0000 - -2.7490 bias 6.0000 - -2.7490 bias 24.0000 - -2.7490 bias 20.0000 - -2.7490 bias 9.0000 - -2.7490 bias 9.0000 - -2.7490 bias 2.0000 - -2.7490 bias 2.0000 - -2.7490 bias 3.0000 - -2.7490 bias                                                                            
TOTAL 41.952626 14.847975 12.889343 10.930165 9.782867 7.065849 4.977629 2.452526 2.259057 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000