Poll Average Details- HI District 2 - Special Election - 2003-01-04 21:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Ed Case Matt Matsunaga Colleen Hanabusa John Stanley Carroll Arturo Pacheco Reyes Steve Tataii Lloyd "Jeff" Mallan Barbara C. Marumoto Whitney T. Anderson Mark McNett Frank F. Fasi Chris Halford James "Jim" Rath Kekoa David Kaapu Kimo Kaloi Nelson J. Secretario Richard H. Haake Rich Payne Doug Fairhurst Nick Nikhilananda Carolyn Martinez Golojuch Brian G. Cole Michael Gagne Gregory "Iimz" Goodwin Bill Russell Charles Collins John "Jack" Randall Paul Britos Mike Rethman S. J. Harlan Moana Keaulana-Dyball Sophie Mataafa Clarence H. Weatherwax Kabba Anand Dan Vierra John L. Sabey Pat Rocco Steve Sparks Solomon Wong Marshall Turner Herbert L. Jensen Alan R. Gano Bartle Lee Rowland Bob McDermott
Hawaii Democratic Party11/21X 1.00000   35.0000 - -0.9345 bias 12.0000 - -0.9345 bias 3.0000 - -0.9345 bias                                                                                 13.0000 - 14.9478 bias
TOTAL 35.934500 12.934500 3.934500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -1.947800