Poll Average Details- FL Attorney General - 2006-11-07 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	William "Bill" McCollum, Jr.	Walter G. "Skip" Campbell, Jr.
Zogby International	11/2	X 1.00000		48.0000 - 0.0434 bias	37.0000 - 0.8870 bias
Mason-Dixon	11/1	X 0.98333		42.0000 - 0.8543 bias	43.0000 - 0.4277 bias
Strategic Vision (R)	10/31	X 0.96667		46.0000 - 1.1151 bias	40.0000 - -0.4798 bias
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R)	10/25	X 0.86667		36.0000 - -1.9480 bias	41.0000 - 2.6379 bias
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	10/22	X 0.81667		43.0000 - 4.0805 bias	36.0000 - -3.4211 bias
The Cromer Group (D)	10/21	X 0.80000		37.0000 - 1.5912 bias	40.0000 - -0.2334 bias
Research 2000	9/20	X 0.28333		42.0000 - 0.1379 bias	39.0000 - 1.1463 bias
TOTAL				41.399260	39.438931