Poll Average Details- OH US Senate - 2006-11-07 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Sherrod Brown Sherrod BrownMike DeWine Mike DeWineRichard A. Duncan
Polimetrix11/5X 1.00000   58.0000 - 1.9452 bias 40.0000 - 1.6909 bias  
University of Cincinnati (The Ohio Poll)11/5X 1.00000   56.0000 - 0.6231 bias 44.0000 - 0.3091 bias  
Mason-Dixon11/3X 0.96667   50.0000 - 0.4277 bias 44.0000 - 0.8543 bias  
Columbus Dispatch11/3X 0.96667   62.0000 - 2.1707 bias 38.0000 - -1.5633 bias  
Reuters/Zogby10/31X 0.91667   49.0000 - 1.3729 bias 42.0000 - 0.1506 bias  
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN)10/29X 0.88333   54.0000 - 0.8608 bias 43.0000 - 0.4312 bias  
Zogby Interactive10/27X 0.85000   48.7000 - 0.0637 bias 47.3000 - 0.8374 bias  
Opinion Consultants10/25X 0.81667   51.0000 - -1.0352 bias 44.0000 - 2.2601 bias  
Survey USA10/25X 0.81667   57.0000 - 0.5274 bias 37.0000 - 0.3265 bias  
LA Times10/23X 0.78333   47.0000 - 1.0135 bias 39.0000 - 1.0817 bias  
Quinnipiac University10/15X 0.65000   53.0000 - 1.0754 bias 41.0000 - -0.2682 bias  
New York Times - CBS News10/15X 0.65000   49.0000 - 2.0567 bias 35.0000 - -1.4721 bias  
Rasmussen Reports10/12X 0.60000   48.0000 - 0.4180 bias 42.0000 - 1.5977 bias  
University of Akron9/29X 0.38333   41.5000 - -1.3826 bias 41.7000 - 1.9352 bias  
TOTAL 51.670401 40.871403 0.000000