Poll Average Details- NZ House of Representatives - Popular Vote - 2023-10-14 01:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal New Zealand National Party New Zealand Labour Party Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand ACT New Zealand New Zealand First Te Pāti Māori The Opportunities Party New Zealand Loyal NewZeal Freedoms New Zealand DemocracyNZ Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party New Conservatives New Nation Party Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand Leighton Baker Party Women's Rights Party Democratic Alliance
1 News-Verian10/10X 1.00000   37.0000 - -2.6840 bias 28.0000 - 0.5411 bias 14.0000 - 2.9535 bias 9.0000 - -0.1661 bias 6.0000 - -0.5782 bias 2.0000 - -0.6540 bias 2.0000 - -0.1097 bias 1.0000 - -0.1792 bias 1.0000 - 0.4170 bias 1.0000 - 0.6685 bias 1.0000 - 0.7345 bias              
Reid Research10/10X 1.00000   34.5000 - 0.2109 bias 27.5000 - 3.1820 bias 14.9000 - -3.9862 bias 8.8000 - -0.0827 bias 6.8000 - 2.4013 bias 2.7000 - 0.1180 bias 2.2000 - 0.1563 bias 1.4000 - 0.2575 bias                    
TOTAL 36.986550 25.888450 14.966350 9.024400 5.488450 2.618000 2.076700 1.160850 0.583000 0.331500 0.265500 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000