Poll Average Details- NC Governor - 2024-11-05 18:30:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Josh Stein Josh Stein	Mark K. Robinson Mark K. Robinson	Mike Ross Shannon Bray	Wayne Turner
Meredith College	4/17	X 1.00000		45.0000 - 3.6941 bias	36.0000 - -1.9836 bias
Quinnipiac University	4/8	X 0.85000		52.0000 - 1.0754 bias	44.0000 - -0.2682 bias
Cygnal (R)	4/8	X 0.85000		37.9000 - 0.0766 bias	39.9000 - 0.1689 bias	3.0000 - 1.9588 bias	0.9000 - 0.3674 bias
High Point University	3/30	X 0.70000		37.0000 - -0.0133 bias	34.0000 - -1.6580 bias
Marist Institute	3/14	X 0.43333		49.0000 - 0.7635 bias	47.0000 - -0.4397 bias
Survey USA	3/9	X 0.35000		44.0000 - 0.5274 bias	42.0000 - 0.3265 bias
Change Research	2/19	X 0.03333		42.0000 - 1.4957 bias	43.0000 - -1.2913 bias
TOTAL				42.715979	40.544564	1.041200	0.532600