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Want to worry about the next pandemic? Spillover.global has you covered
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Apr 06, 2021 11:11am |
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| Category | Speculative |
| Author | John Timmer |
| News Date | Tuesday, April 6, 2021 11:45:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | The effort grew out of a USAID-sponsored program called PREDICT, which was part of a set of efforts focused on zoonotic diseases, those that can cross species barriers and infect humans. Collectively, the PREDICT project did a massive survey of animal viruses, using over a half-million individual samples taken from 75,000 animals. Out of that data, the project identified over 700 new viruses and another that had never been seen in the animal in which it was found.
The net result is a spillover score, the best estimate of the risk each of these viruses pose to humans, awkwardly rated on a score of 1 to 155 (this is what happens when you start with 50 factors scored from 1-5, weigh them to varying degrees, and then throw some of them out). As a test of its validity, the researchers looked at the top-scoring viruses; all of the first dozen were already known to have infected humans. |
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