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GOP Insiders: Senate A No-Go
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Race
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| Contributor | RP |
| Last Edited | RP Sep 28, 2012 09:33am |
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| Category | Poll |
| Author | Alex Roarty, Naureen Khan and Brian McGill |
| News Date | Thursday, September 27, 2012 07:50:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Republicans no longer think they're going to retake the Senate, according to the latest National Journal Political Insiders Poll, a stunning drop in optimism for a party that began 2012 confident it would regain control of the chamber.
Only four percent of GOP insiders rate their chances as "high," a free-fall in confidence from when National Journal Insiders were asked about Senate races in February. At the time, 66 percent of Republicans were bullish they'd win the four seats necessary to retake control. In September of 2011, 79 percent of them thought so.
Asked on a scale of 0 (no chance) to 10 (virtual certainty) to rate the GOP's chances, the party insiders averaged a score of 4.4. In February, the score was 6.9.
The shift in expectations was mirrored among Democrats. Now, 59 percent of the party's insiders say the odds they will lose a Senate majority are "low." Seven months ago, only 16 percent of them were similarly confident. |
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