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  Poll: Noem leads by a point
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ContributorHikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Last EditedHikikomori Blitzkrieg!  Aug 07, 2012 01:14am
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CategoryNews
AuthorTom Lawrence
MediaNewspaper - The Daily Republic (of Mitchell, SD)
News DateSaturday, August 4, 2012 12:40:00 PM UTC0:0
DescriptionThe U.S. House race between Rep. Kristi Noem and challenger Matt Varilek is close, according to a Sioux Falls polling firm.

Nielson Brothers Polling released a survey Friday morning that showed Noem, a freshman Republican, with a 47-46 lead over Varilek, her Democratic opponent.

The remaining 7 percent were undecided, according to the poll.

The poll figures are a contrast to The New York Times, which lists the South Dakota race as “solid Republican” in its rundown on House races.

Noem earned her House seat by defeating then-Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin in 2010.

This year marks Varilek’s first bid for elective office. He defeated Jeff Barth in the June 2 Democratic primary.

Tom Erickson, Noem’s campaign manager, said he doesn’t put a lot of stock in the NBP numbers.

“I would have to dismiss anyone who claims someone who supports President Obama’s health care law is getting 46 percent,” Erickson said.

He said Varilek is still unknown to many South Dakotans. In addition, Erickson said the polling firm lacks credibility. He pointed to an October 2010 NBP poll that showed Republican Dennis Daugaard leading Democrat Scott Heidepriem by only three points, 43-40, in their South Dakota gubernatorial race. Daugaard won the November election that year, 61.5 percent to 38.5 percent.

However, that same poll showed Noem with a 44.3-41.8 lead with independent candidate B. Thomas Marking at 6.5 percent and 7 percent undecided. On Election Day, Noem won 48.1-45.9 percent, and Marking garnered almost 6 percent.
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