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Kiss That Speaker's Gavel Goodbye, Frank McNulty [CO House]
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Contributor | COSDem |
Last Edited | COSDem Feb 02, 2012 04:49pm |
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Category | Blog Entry |
News Date | Thursday, February 2, 2012 10:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
Description | As of this morning, the consensus view from our sources is that Rep. Laura Bradford's disaffiliation from the Republican Party is all but inevitable now. Most expect her to serve out her current term, but not to run for re-election due to the logistical hurdles imposed by changing affiliation so late--and of course the drama and still-unresolved questions about the past week complicating everything. It's considered more likely that Rep. Bradford will go unaffiliated, though the possibility of her switching to the Democratic Party remains out there.
The thing to understand is that in either case, Bradford going unaffiliated or Democratic, it's a very good bet that House Speaker Frank McNulty will not be Speaker when the dust settles. As we said yesterday, if Bradford switches to a Democrat, the majority simply flips. If she goes independent, you've got a 32-32-1 tie, and near-certainty of Bradford--or somebody else--calling an election for a new Speaker. And as you probably know, or if you didn't know you could well be about to learn, McNulty is not universally loved within his caucus.
One possible scenario here is a House that remains in Republican hands, with Democratic help.
That's all we should prudently say right now, we'll update as events warrant (which they will). |
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