|
|
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
|
[Tommy] Thompson vulnerable on right
|
|---|
| Parent(s) |
Race
|
| Contributor | Homegrown Democrat |
| Last Edited | Homegrown Democrat Aug 17, 2011 02:21pm |
| Logged |
0
|
| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Tom Jensen |
| News Date | Wednesday, August 17, 2011 02:50:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | I think it's highly unlikely Tommy Thompson is going to be the Republican Senate candidate in Wisconsin next year.
Sure our newest poll of the state finds Thompson leading Mark Neumann 47-39 in a head to head primary match up. But that's based much more than anything else on Thompson's far superior name recognition. 91% of GOP voters are familiar enough with him to have formed an opinion, while that's only the case for 57% of voters when it comes to Neumann. With that 57% of voters who have formed an opinion of Neumann, whether it's a positive or a negative one, he leads Thompson by a 55-39 margin. That bodes pretty well for Neumann's prospects as he gets into the swing of the campaign.
Here's the real sign of how weak Thompson is though. We read respondents a two sentence, 28 word summary of the attacks he's likely to face from Neumann during the primary campaign and then asked voters again who they would support if the primary was today. And all the sudden Thompson trailed Neumann by a whooping 33 points, 59-26! Two sentences led to a 40 point swing in the horse race. We don't see that happen very often. (Here's the likely future Neumann line of attack on Thompson that we read: "While Tommy Thompson was Governor, he more than doubled state spending and increased government bureaucracy. Then he endorsed Obamacare, President Obama’s $1- trillion-dollar government takeover of health care.") |
| Share |
|
|
2¢
|
|
| Article | Read Full Article |
|
| Date |
Category |
Headline |
Article |
Contributor |
|
|
