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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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5 things to watch in the NY-26 vote
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Race
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| Contributor | Jason |
| Last Edited | Jason May 24, 2011 07:00am |
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| Category | Election Guide |
| News Date | Tuesday, May 24, 2011 12:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Tuesday’s special election for a western New York congressional seat is positioned to become the first political measuring stick of the national debate over the Republican plan to rewrite Medicare. Democrat Kathy Hochul is narrowly leading the race for the GOP-friendly 26th Congressional District once thought to be a lock for Republican Jane Corwin.
Here’s what POLITICO will be watching on election night.
The Davis effect
There’s probably no more critical factor in the race than Jack Davis, the Democrat-turned-tea-party-candidate who’s spent nearly $3 million of his own funds casting himself as an independent-minded outsider who will save the Buffalo area’s blue-collar workers from losing their jobs to China.
Davis, who’s been the target of GOP attack ads in recent weeks, has seen his polling numbers plummet from 23 percent last month to 12 percent in a Siena Research Institute survey released over the weekend. But the poll found Davis picking up 13 percent of Republican voters — support that would otherwise very likely go to Corwin and could determine a close contest. |
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