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NJ-Sen, NJ-Gov: Menendez May or May Not Be in Trouble
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| Parent(s) |
Race
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| Contributor | Scott³ |
| Last Edited | Scott³ Jan 25, 2011 02:11pm |
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| Category | Blog Entry |
| Author | Michael Doherty |
| News Date | Monday, January 17, 2011 08:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | "Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. (1/3-9, registered voters, no trendlines):
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 44
Tom Kean Jr. (R): 34
Unsure/Neither/Other: 22
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 40
Michael Doherty (R): 30
Unsure/Neither/Other: 30
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 47
Kim Guadagno (R): 26
Unsure/Neither/Other: 27
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 41
Joe Kyrillos (R): 29
Unsure/Neither/Other: 30
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 44
John Crowley (R): 30
Unsure/Neither/Other: 27
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 42
Jennifer Beck (R): 29
Unsure/Neither/Other: 29
(MoE: ±3.5%)
Local pollster Fairleigh Dickinson's first look at the 2012 Senate race finds Bob Menendez leading his little-known Republican potential rivals by double digits, ranging from margins of 10 (against his 2006 opponent, Tom Kean Jr., and also against state Sen. Michael Doherty, who's apparently a particular fave to the tea party types) to 19 (against current Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno, who may be at a low point right now since most people's current impression of her involves her being out-of-state during the nor'easter cleanup). FDU doesn't offer an approval rating for Menendez for some reason, but he's polling not out of the danger zone, in the mid-40s and, as they point out, his fortunes are probably deeply tied to those of Barack Obama (who's at 47/41) and those of the broader economy.
Public Policy Polling (1/6-9, New Jersey voters, no trendlines):
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 41
Tom Kean Jr. (R): 39
Undecided: 19
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 47
Lou Dobbs (R): 35
Undecided: 18
Bob Menendez (D-inc): 45
Kim Guadgano (R): 30
Undecided: 24
(MoE: ±4.3%)
FDU's numbers contrast a bit with those from PPP, who find a much closer race between Menendez and Kean (although they find a similar blowout against Guadagno as with FDU)." |
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