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Expectations, momentum, fatal mistakes: Strategists sometimes misread Iowa and New Hampshire results
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Race
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Contributor | User 13 |
Last Edited | User 13 Jan 16, 2004 11:59am |
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Category | Perspective |
News Date | Friday, January 16, 2004 06:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
Description | In 1968, Minnesota Sen. Eugene McCarthy "won" the New Hampshire primary with 42 percent of the vote, even though he finished second to President Johnson who got 50 percent.
Reporters and pundits proclaimed McCarthy the winner because he had exceeded expectations by doing so well against an incumbent president.
Two weeks after McCarthy’s strong showing in New Hampshire, Johnson announced that he would not run for re-election.
The New Hampshire primary does not usually produce such historic results, but that doesn’t stop reporters from looking for pulse-pounding comebacks and upsets.
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